Why Putin really doesn’t want China to invade Taiwan | Ryan McBeth

0 August 20, 2026 09:00

In this segment, intelligence analyst and software architect Ryan McBeth breaks down why China is watching Western military entanglements with extreme caution before making any move on Taiwan.

Drawing analogies between military conflict and messy personal relationships, McBeth explains how the U.S. Joint All-Domain Command and Control (JADC2/JADO) doctrine—which unleashes a multi-domain barrage on day one—alongside Russia’s missteps in Ukraine and Israel’s grueling campaign in Gaza, are forcing Beijing to rethink its timeline.

He argues that rather than attempting a high-risk amphibious invasion across the Taiwan Strait, Xi Jinping may ultimately find it cheaper and far more effective to influence Taiwanese elections and slowly absorb the island politically.

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